Fantasy Football Mania – Week 3

Fantasy Football Mania

Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook for 5 BIG Games

By

Carlos Bonier

 

Welcome to the first addition of FANTASY MANIA. For the simple people who couldn’t tell by the title, the following will game-by-game rundown of what to expect this coming NFL Sunday for 5 of the bigger fantasy games. If you don’t take our advice, you’ll probably lose and regret it ALL shitty week long. We’ll do this first kickoff time to last. Let it begin!

 

1.) Texans @ Saints – 1:00pm

This game features two high-powered offenses and plenty of fantasy pop. The Texans are fairly obvious – you start Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson and Ben Tate (with Arian Foster on the shelf for a few weeks), but that’s about it, right? I say wrong for this game. I think in deeper and/or PPR league you consider Jacoby Jones and Owen Daniels – the Texans had huge leads early in their first two games which resulted in a heavy does of the Tate Train. Andre Johnson is almost certain to get his, but the Texans will have to throw often and Daniels and Jones should see increased production as a result.

The Saints, oh the Saints, everyone’s fantasy dream – a QB who throws it to anyone and everyone, and 3 decent backs splitting time. Start Drew Brees, duh. With Marques Colston out it is nearly impossible to predict whether Devery Henderson or Robert Meachem or both with have big games. Both are decent flex plays, but very risky. Honestly, if you have a more consistent option with a lower ceiling, like say go with the consistency. Meachem and Henderson have claimed many many victims over the years with their “upside”. Lance Moore is usually more reliable than his previously mentioned WR buddies and would be a good flex play in PPR leagues, but he was very quiet last week, being eased back into the offense after missing Week 1 with a hamstring injury. I stay away from him until his shows something. Start TE Jimmy Graham, that guy looks fucking good. If you have a stud TE in front of him sell his ass high. The RBs…. I wouldn’t start any of them except for Sproles at flex in a PPR league, unless you had Jamaal Charles and you’re desperate.

 

Sunday 1:00 – Houston Texans Vs. New Orleans Saints
Spread Moneyline Total Points
Houston Texans
New Orleans Saints
Houston Texans
New Orleans Saints
+4 -115
-4 -105
+175
-205
OV 53 -110
UN 53 -110
Houston Texans
New Orleans Saints
+4 -110
-4 -110
+175
-210
OV 53 -110
UN 53 -110
Houston Texans
New Orleans Saints
+4 -115
-4 -105
OV 53 -110
UN 53 -110

2.) NY Gaints @ Eagles – 1:00pm

The first of our 2 great rivalry games, this particular meeting may have some added spice after the Twitter battles that went on between these two NFL East foes this offseason.

From a fantasy perspective, this game doesn’t require the insight the previous one did. Mike Vick is expected to play so start him, along with Shady McCoy, Desean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin as you normally would. Steve Smith could be a savvy play if you’re desperate or in a deep PPR league. He might have an expanded role against his former team. Brent Celek had been the forgotten man much like he was last year. You’re just a homer fuck if you start him. Ahmad Bradshaw and Hakeem Nicks are must starts. The Eagles secondary is outstanding but Nicks has a history of coming up big against the birds. As long as he doesn’t draw Nnamdi every snap and we don’t think he will, start him.

Brandon Jacobs could and should have a large role in this Giants game plan this week, as the Eagles run defense is weak sauce. If you need and RB2 or flex play, you could do worse than Jacobs this week.  No word yet on whether Mario Manningham will play. He’s the only other Giant I would consider starting.

Sunday 1:00 – New York Giants Vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Spread Moneyline Total Points
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
OV 39.5 -110
UN 39.5 -110
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
+10.5 -130
-10.5 +110
+320
-390
OV 39.5 -110
UN 39.5 -110
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
+9 -115
-9 -105
OV 39.5 -110
UN 39.5 -110

3.) Jaguars @ Panthers – 1:00pm

Well MJD owners this is your week, enjoy it cause it ain’t gonna last. The Panther’s Defense is pretty horrendous and Jones-Drew should have a very nice day. After this week it’s back to 8 in the box and mediocrity. Mike Thomas is the only other Jaguar I consider starting in PPR or deep leagues. He’s been targeted over 16 times the first 2 games, I think a few more end up in his hands against this D.

Cam Newton – kid looks like a stud. I see this being another high scoring affair and would start Newton unless you have a studlier stud. I have no idea what the deal is with the Panthers run game. This could be the week it gets rolling.

Deangelo Williams isn’t a terrible flex play, but I would give him another week on the bench as an RB2 until he does something, anything. Same goes for Jonathan Stewart, he’s getting some touches, but stay away until Killer Cam cools down. Steve Smith should be very active again and Brandon Lafelle might be someone you start if you’re desperate or in a 24 team league.

 

Sunday 1:00 – Jacksonville Jaguars Vs. Carolina Panthers
Spread Moneyline Total Points
Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers
+3.5 – 105
-3.5 -115
OV 43 -110
UN 43 -110
Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers
+3.5 -115
-3.5 -105
+165
-190
OV 43 -110
UN 43 -110
Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers
+3.5 -120
-3.5 +100
+165
-190
OV 43 -110
UN 43 -110
Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers
+3½ -115
-3½ -105
OV 43 -110
UN 43 -110

Patriots @ Bills – 1:00pm

Tom Brady is ridiculous; he’s obviously going to have a big game in what will likely be a high scoring affair.

Likewise look for Wes Welker, Deion Branch and Rob Gronkowski to all have nice games, especially with Aaron Herdandez likely out. BJGE is a solid RB2 and high-end flex play this week in all formats. Danny FAKIN’ Woodhead is a decent flex play in PPR or deep leagues, but who knows with this guy, I wouldn’t start him.

Chad Ochocino, is this the week he is finally the focal point of the game plan, with Hernandez out? I doubt it. You simply can’t start 85 yet. He may assume a larger role in the offense eventually, but I don’t know about you, I want to see it first.

Ryan Fitzpatrick or Fitz 2.0, as I like to call him, is a very strong play this week and should be a top 10 QB. Stevie Johnson is a stud and after Vincent Jackson’s 3 TD 125+ yard day against the Pats least week, I would feel pretty good about starting him. It’s unlikely the Pats key in on anyone and shut them down completely like they did last week to Antonio Gates. I would start David Nelson this week over most in a PPR. He has one less target than Stevie J this year and should be in-line for a very nice game as this should be a high scoring affair. Fred Jackson looks like a stud and is leading a Bill’s rushing attack that is #1 in the NFL through 2 weeks, that’s right #1. You went to Clemson if you think starting CJ Spiller is a good idea. Though he could break one this week, do you really want to risk it, do you?

 

Sunday 1:00 – New England Patriots Vs. Buffalo Bills
Spread Moneyline Total Points
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
-9 -105
+9 -115
OV 54 -105
UN 54 -115
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
-9 +100
+9 -120
-405
+335
OV 53.5 -110
UN 53.5 -110
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
-9 +105
+9 -125
-380
+315
OV 53.5 -110
UN 53.5 -110
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
-8½ -110
+8½ -110
OV 53.5 -110
UN 53.5 -11

Packers @ Bears – 1:00pm

Nothing to do with fantasy, but this one just sounds great, doesn’t it? Packers, Bears… Ah, one of the great, storied rivalries.

However, from a fantasy stand point there are only 4 must starts between the two teams: Aaron Rodgers, Greg Jennings, Jermichael Finley and Matt “Drankin A” Forte.

I do like James Starks, a lot, and would start him as an RB2 in leagues you didn’t take a RB until the 6th round or as a flex. However, if you are deep at RB, I wouldn’t take count on Starks to put up huge numbers this week.

Hate Ryan Grant, his share of the carries is diminishing not so much because he looks terrible, but because Starks look much better. I would avoid Grant at all costs this week.

Jordy Nelson has been solid far, even with 1 catch last week, that catch went for an 84yd TD catch; however, I avoid him this week against a tough Bears D. I do like him going forward though.

Jay Cutler should have to throw early and often and unfortunately, most likely short shit to Matt Forte. Because he will probably put up in the area of 280-320 yds and 2 TDs, he’s not a bad play this week,  ONLY if INTs don’t kill you. I think this high-pressure GB D forces more than couple turnovers at the hands of Cutler – he is a fumbler as well. If you are deciding between the likes of Josh Freeman or Matt Ryan and Cutler, I go with the former two. If it’s between someone like Eli (decent #’s QB with a tough matchup) and Cutler – I go Cutler. Don’t you dare start any Bears WRs or TEs; the Cutlery simply does not get it to any one of these guys consistently.

 

Sunday 1:00 – Denver Broncos Vs. Tennessee Titans
Spread Moneyline Total Points
Denver Broncos
Tennessee Titans
Denver Broncos
Tennessee Titans
+7 -108
-7 -112
+275
-330
OV 42 -110
UN 42 -110
Denver Broncos
Tennessee Titans
+8 -130
-8 +110
+270
-330
OV 42 -110
UN 42 -110
Denver Broncos
Tennessee Titans
+7 -110
-7 -110
OV 42 -110
UN 42 -110

About Kate Potter

Kate Potter is a professional sports better and a semi-pro fantasy football player.

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