Week 2 NFL Betting Lines Breakdown – Chicao Bears Vs. New Orleans Saints

Week 2 NFL Betting Lines Breakdown:

Chicao Bears Vs. New Orleans Saints

 

With week 1 of the 2011 NFL season in the books we have a much better sense of where many teams stand. While some questions remain unanswered, the fog of the lockout is starting to lift.

Let’s take a look at the first tilt on the schedule, the Bears vs. Saints game

Chicago Bears (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. New Orleans Saints (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS), 1:00 p.m. EST, Week 2 NFL, Sunday, September 18, 2011, Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, La., TV: FOX

NFL Betting Lines

Sunday 1:00 – Chicago Bears Vs. New Orleans Saints
Spread Moneyline Total Points
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
+7 -120
-7 Even
OV 47-110
UN 47 -110
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
+6.5 -110
-6.5 -110
+250
-300
OV 47-110
UN 47 -110
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
+7 -125
-7 +105
+255
-310
OV 47-110
UN 47 -110
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
+6½ -110
-6½ -110
OV 47-110
UN 47 -110

The Chicago Bears desperately want to keep the momentum from their season opening victory going when they head down to the Big Easy of New Orleans to take on the New Orleans Saints in the Superdome in a week two NFC clash.

Week 1 was an impressive one for the Bears as they ended up with a decisive victory, 30-12, over the Atlanta Falcons. Their defense was able to force three turnovers with one being returned for a TD. Cutler racked up 312 yard with two TD’s making it an all around strong performance from Da’ Bears.

The saints on the other hand had a disappointing loss to the Packers in the 2011 season opener. Although they gave up 42 points their offense still looked strong with a total of 477 yards and they even came close to tying it up at the end of the game. The Saints team is still a force to be reckoned with but this loss could leave some lingering damage on their confidence.

The Saints are coming in on most NFL Betting lines as a -6.5 or -7 favorite. This points to oddsmakers disbelief in The Bears ability to bring the goods all season especially when the Saints are at home. I think the Bears will feed off this “disrespect” and use it to their advantage just like they did last week against the Falcons.

The NFL betting line for the over/under is pretty steady at 47 and we shouldn’t see much movement on that throughout the week.

We saw high scores from both offenses last week with 34- and 30-point outputs in their 2011 debuts, but while the Saints and quarterback Drew Brees are expected to reach that level on a weekly basis the Bears and Cutler are not.

Against the Bears the Saints will need to establish a better running game than they did in the opener against the Packers (81 yards, 3.8 ypc), especially in short-yardage situations. If they don’t the Bears will just sit back in that cover-2 shell on defense and make Brees dink-n-dunk his way down the field, something Brees has proven he’s capable of doing to carry his team, but something you don’t want to have to do every week if you can help it.

If Urlacher is out (personal issues is the rumor) then the Saints should focus on developing and sustaining a run attack. The Falcons had success with over 100 yards on the bears in rushing offense but abandoned it when they fell behind in the 2nd half.

The Bears offense was good enough in the opener, but it’s no secret that the team feeds off its defense. With the young o-line the Bears are still finding their way in the running game (88 yards, 3.2 ypc in opener), the Bears will rely on field position and turnovers more than ever before under Lovie Smith on offense this season.

Another key to this game is how well Cutler and new center Groberto Garza do against the Saints blitz schemes and adjustments. Once the Saints adjusted last week they were able to get to Rodgers in the 2nd half so it’s likely with the inexperience of the Bears O-Line that Cutler will have to get the ball off quick.

Historically speaking, the Bears have trounced the Saints consistently since 2005 winning all four meetings.

Chicago does have a few strong betting trends in their favor, including a 4-1 ATS mark in their last five against an NFC opponent and a 4-1 ATS mark as a road underdog in their last five trips. The Saints don’t play all that well as the chalk either, going 1-4 ATS in their last five as favorites.

Conclusion on Chicago Bears Vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Lines:

Too many factors favor the Bears if you can lock them in as +7 underdogs. Later in the season it might be a different story but right now the way the NFL betting lines look, the Bears have momentum and history on their side and their defense is so good at keeping it close that this is a solid bet.

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About Kate Potter

Kate Potter is a professional sports better and a semi-pro fantasy football player.

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